AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Australian Championship Oct 17, 2025

APIA Leichhardt Tigers

Home
VS
08:35

Sydney

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Sydney Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 4.50 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Sydney Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%) 2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 11 APIA Leic… vs MetroStars 0-1
Jul 20 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 2-2
Apr 06 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 2-1
Aug 28 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 1-2
Aug 25 APIA Leic… vs NWS Spirit 1-0
Aug 17 APIA Leic… vs Hills Bru… 4-1
Aug 11 APIA Leic… vs Sydney II 1-5
Aug 03 APIA Leic… vs Western S… 5-3
Jul 28 APIA Leic… vs Rockdale … 2-1
Jul 21 APIA Leic… vs Sydney 2-0
Sydney Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Sydney vs Bayswater… 1-1
Aug 23 Sydney vs Auckland 1-1
Jul 20 Sydney vs APIA Leic… 2-2
May 03 Sydney vs Melbourne… 5-1
Apr 27 Sydney vs Western U… 1-0
Apr 20 Sydney vs Newcastle… 3-2
Apr 12 Sydney vs Auckland 2-2
Apr 06 Sydney vs APIA Leic… 2-1
Apr 05 Sydney vs Adelaide … 2-3
Mar 29 Sydney vs Melbourne… 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2025 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 2 - 2 Sydney New South Wale…
Apr 06, 2025 Sydney 2 - 1 APIA Leichhardt Tig… New South Wale…
Aug 28, 2024 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 1 - 2 Sydney New South Wale…
Jul 21, 2024 Sydney 2 - 0 APIA Leichhardt Tig… New South Wale…
Apr 14, 2024 APIA Leichhardt Tig… 1 - 5 Sydney New South Wale…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: APIA Leichhardt Tigers to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
APIA Leichhardt Tigers Power 0
Sydney Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.