AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Oct 18, 2025

FC Thun

Home
VS
16:00

Servette FC

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Servette FC Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.13 - 0.63
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Servette FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
FC Thun Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 FC Thun vs FC St. Ga… 1-2
Sep 28 FC Thun vs BSC Young… 4-2
Sep 13 FC Thun vs FC Basel … 1-3
Aug 30 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Aug 23 FC Thun vs FC Zurich 0-4
Aug 17 FC Thun vs Breitenra… 1-0
Aug 09 FC Thun vs FC Luzern 1-2
Aug 03 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-1
Jul 27 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 1-2
May 23 FC Thun vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
Servette FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Servette … vs FC Basel … 0-3
Sep 27 Servette … vs FC Winter… 4-0
Sep 20 Servette … vs Yverdon S… 1-0
Sep 17 Servette … vs FC Sion 0-2
Sep 13 Servette … vs FC Zurich 2-1
Aug 31 Servette … vs FC Luzern 2-2
Aug 28 Servette … vs Shakhtar … 1-2
Aug 21 Servette … vs Shakhtar … 1-1
Aug 14 Servette … vs Utrecht 2-1
Aug 10 Servette … vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Servette FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
Servette FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Thun Position

+7

Position Gap

8

Servette FC Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 36%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.