AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Oct 18, 2025

Western Sydney Wanderers

Home
VS
06:00

Melbourne City

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Western Sydney Wanderers Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Melbourne City Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.35 - 1.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.5
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Western Sydney Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Melbourne City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 2-0 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
Western Sydney Wanderers Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-2
May 03 Western S… vs Macarthur… 1-3
Apr 26 Western S… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Apr 19 Western S… vs Melbourne… 2-2
Apr 13 Western S… vs Western U… 2-0
Apr 05 Western S… vs Auckland 1-1
Mar 29 Western S… vs Wellingto… 2-2
Mar 15 Western S… vs Melbourne… 4-2
Mar 02 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 4-1
Feb 22 Western S… vs Central C… 0-4
Melbourne City Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Melbourne… vs Sydney Ol… 3-2
Oct 01 Melbourne… vs Vissel Ko… 1-0
Sep 16 Melbourne… vs Sanfrecce… 0-2
May 31 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-0
May 24 Melbourne… vs Western U… 1-1
May 16 Melbourne… vs Western U… 0-3
May 03 Melbourne… vs Sydney 5-1
Apr 26 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 0-0
Apr 19 Melbourne… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 11 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Western Sydney Wanderers in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Western Sydney Wand… 2 - 2 Melbourne City A-League
Nov 30, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 20, 2024 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 2 Melbourne City A-League
Mar 12, 2024 Melbourne City 7 - 0 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 12, 2024 Melbourne City 0 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Apr 28, 2023 Melbourne City 3 - 2 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Jan 15, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 1 Melbourne City A-League
Feb 11, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 3 Melbourne City A-League
Jan 09, 2022 Melbourne City 3 - 3 Western Sydney Wand… A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Western Sydney Wanderers Power 0
Melbourne City Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Western Sydney Wanderers Position

-6

Position Gap

6

Melbourne City Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.