AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça de Portugal Oct 19, 2025

Fafe

Home
VS
13:00

Moreirense

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Fafe Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Moreirense Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 1.89 - 0.25
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Fafe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Moreirense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
78%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Fafe Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 10 Fafe vs Amarante 3-0
Oct 05 Fafe vs São João … 2-0
Sep 28 Fafe vs Varzim 1-1
Sep 21 Fafe vs Oriental … 0-1
Sep 13 Fafe vs Trofense 5-1
Aug 24 Fafe vs AD Marco … 0-0
Aug 17 Fafe vs Paredes 1-1
Aug 10 Fafe vs Sanjoanen… 0-2
May 17 Fafe vs Varzim 5-3
Apr 13 Fafe vs Amarante 1-1
Moreirense Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Moreirense vs Nacional 3-2
Sep 27 Moreirense vs Casa Pia … 2-1
Sep 22 Moreirense vs Sporting … 3-0
Sep 13 Moreirense vs Rio Ave FC 3-1
Aug 29 Moreirense vs GIL Vicen… 2-0
Aug 23 Moreirense vs Guimaraes 2-0
Aug 17 Moreirense vs Santa Cla… 0-1
Aug 10 Moreirense vs Alverca 2-1
Aug 02 Moreirense vs Académico… 0-1
Jul 23 Moreirense vs Famalicao 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fafe in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Moreirense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 17, 2021 Moreirense 1 - 1 Fafe Taça de Portug…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fafe to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fafe Power 0
Moreirense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.