AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Torneo Federal A Oct 19, 2025

Platense

Home
VS
21:00

Sarmiento de Junín

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Platense Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Sarmiento de Junín Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 47%
xG: 1.81 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.6
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Platense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (9%) 3-0 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Platense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 13 Platense vs Deportivo… 1-1
Oct 11 Platense vs Sarmiento… 4-0
Oct 04 Platense vs Sarmiento… 0-1
Oct 04 Platense vs Atlético … 2-0
Sep 26 Platense vs San Martí… 2-2
Sep 20 Platense vs Lanús 2-1
Sep 14 Platense vs Argentino… 1-0
Sep 14 Platense vs Defensa y… 1-2
Sep 07 Platense vs Cipolletti 0-0
Sep 01 Platense vs Godoy Cruz 1-3
Sarmiento de Junín Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Sarmiento… vs River Pla… 0-1
Oct 12 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 1-1
Oct 04 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 0-0
Oct 04 Sarmiento… vs Gimnasia … 0-1
Sep 28 Sarmiento… vs Talleres … 1-0
Sep 20 Sarmiento… vs Barracas … 0-1
Sep 14 Sarmiento… vs Atletico … 1-0
Sep 14 Sarmiento… vs Aldosivi 2-0
Sep 07 Sarmiento… vs Sportivo … 4-1
Aug 31 Sarmiento… vs San Martí… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Platense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2025 Sarmiento de Junín 0 - 1 Platense Liga Profesion…
Nov 27, 2024 Sarmiento de Junín 1 - 0 Platense Liga Profesion…
Apr 14, 2024 Sarmiento de Junín 0 - 1 Platense Copa de la Lig…
Nov 25, 2023 Platense 1 - 0 Sarmiento de Junín Copa de la Lig…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Platense to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Platense Power 0
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.