AI Match Insights
Liga MX Oct 19, 2025
Guadalajara Chivas
HomeVS
01:07
Mazatlán FC
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
Draw
Mazatlán FC Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
TOP3vsBot (75.8%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
95%
Market
50%
Combined: 53%
Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 1.61 - 0.88
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9
Position gap: 17 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 06 | Guadalaja… vs U.N.A.M. … | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Guadalaja… vs Puebla | 0-2 |
| Sep 24 | Guadalaja… vs Necaxa | 3-1 |
| Sep 21 | Guadalaja… vs Toluca | 0-3 |
| Sep 18 | Guadalaja… vs Tigres UA… | 0-0 |
| Sep 14 | Guadalaja… vs Club Amér… | 1-2 |
| Sep 08 | Guadalaja… vs Ingenio | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul | 1-2 |
| Aug 31 | Guadalaja… vs Unión Tar… | 2-3 |
| Aug 24 | Guadalaja… vs Primero M… | 0-2 |
Mazatlán FC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 04 | Mazatlán … vs Atletico … | 2-1 |
| Sep 28 | Mazatlán … vs Toluca | 3-1 |
| Sep 24 | Mazatlán … vs León FC | 2-2 |
| Sep 20 | Mazatlán … vs Atlas | 1-1 |
| Sep 13 | Mazatlán … vs U.N.A.M. … | 1-4 |
| Aug 30 | Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez | 1-0 |
| Aug 24 | Mazatlán … vs Tigres UA… | 2-2 |
| Aug 18 | Mazatlán … vs Monterrey | 3-2 |
| Aug 10 | Mazatlán … vs Club Tiju… | 2-2 |
| Jul 26 | Mazatlán … vs Pachuca | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Guadalajara Chivas in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Mazatlán FC | 1 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 - 0 | Mazatlán FC | Liga MX |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Mazatlán FC | 2 - 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 - 3 | Mazatlán FC | Liga MX |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Guadalajara Chivas | 4 - 1 | Mazatlán FC | Liga MX |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 - 0 | Mazatlán FC | Copa por México |
| Aug 06, 2022 | Mazatlán FC | 2 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
| Jan 10, 2022 | Guadalajara Chivas | 3 - 0 | Mazatlán FC | Liga MX |
| Nov 06, 2021 | Mazatlán FC | 0 - 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | Liga MX |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Guadalajara Chivas to win (83% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
83% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 17
Guadalajara Chivas Power
0
Mazatlán FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Guadalajara Chivas Position+17
Position Gap18
Mazatlán FC Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.