AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
USL Super League Oct 10, 2025

Lexington Women

Home
VS
22:00

Carolina Ascent Women

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Lexington Women Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Carolina Ascent Women Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 3.09 - 1.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 1.3
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lexington Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Carolina Ascent Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Lexington Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 0-0
Sep 26 Lexington… vs Dallas Tr… 6-1
Sep 20 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 0-0
Sep 12 Lexington… vs DC Power … 0-0
Sep 07 Lexington… vs Brooklyn … 2-0
Aug 23 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 3-3
May 31 Lexington… vs DC Power … 3-3
May 16 Lexington… vs Fort Laud… 0-1
May 04 Lexington… vs Spokane Z… 2-0
Apr 27 Lexington… vs Dallas Tr… 3-1
Carolina Ascent Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Carolina … vs DC Power … 3-2
Sep 28 Carolina … vs Sporting … 3-4
Sep 24 Carolina … vs Spokane Z… 0-1
Sep 13 Carolina … vs Sporting … 2-2
Sep 06 Carolina … vs Tampa Bay… 2-2
Aug 30 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 2-2
Jun 08 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 1-2
Jun 01 Carolina … vs Dallas Tr… 2-1
May 24 Carolina … vs Brooklyn … 0-0
Apr 26 Carolina … vs Fort Laud… 2-5
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 23, 2025 Lexington Women 0 - 4 Carolina Ascent Wom… USL Super Leag…
Feb 16, 2025 Carolina Ascent Wom… 2 - 1 Lexington Women USL Super Leag…
Oct 06, 2024 Lexington Women 1 - 1 Carolina Ascent Wom… USL Super Leag…
Aug 25, 2024 Carolina Ascent Wom… 1 - 1 Lexington Women USL Super Leag…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Lexington Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lexington Women Power 0
Carolina Ascent Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Lexington Women Position

+2

Position Gap

4

Carolina Ascent Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.