AI Match Insights

Liga Panameña de Fútbol Oct 31, 2025

Independiente de La Chorrera

Home
VS
21:00

San Francisco FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Independiente de La Chorrera Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
San Francisco FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 66%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 1.64 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Independiente de La Chorrera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
San Francisco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
Independiente de La Chorrera Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Independi… vs Veraguas 3-0
Oct 18 Independi… vs Herrera 0-2
Oct 11 Independi… vs Deportivo… 2-0
Oct 04 Independi… vs UMECIT 0-1
Sep 28 Independi… vs Plaza Ama… 3-0
Sep 21 Independi… vs Tauro FC 0-0
Sep 14 Independi… vs CD Arabe … 0-0
Sep 07 Independi… vs Sporting … 2-0
Aug 30 Independi… vs Alianza FC 2-2
Aug 27 Independi… vs CS Cartag… 4-0
San Francisco FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 San Franc… vs Herrera 1-0
Oct 18 San Franc… vs Deportivo… 0-0
Oct 12 San Franc… vs SD Atleti… 2-2
Oct 04 San Franc… vs Tauro FC 1-1
Sep 27 San Franc… vs CD Arabe … 0-2
Sep 20 San Franc… vs Sporting … 0-1
Sep 16 San Franc… vs Alianza FC 1-1
Sep 06 San Franc… vs UMECIT 0-0
Aug 31 San Franc… vs Plaza Ama… 2-2
Aug 16 San Franc… vs Veraguas 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Independiente de La Chorrera in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2025 San Francisco FC 3 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Apr 26, 2025 San Francisco FC 1 - 1 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Jan 25, 2025 Independiente de La… 1 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Oct 19, 2024 Independiente de La… 1 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Jul 27, 2024 San Francisco FC 1 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Apr 13, 2024 San Francisco FC 3 - 1 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Feb 03, 2024 Independiente de La… 3 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Oct 15, 2023 Independiente de La… 2 - 0 San Francisco FC Liga Panameña …
Jul 29, 2023 San Francisco FC 0 - 2 Independiente de La… Liga Panameña …
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Independiente de La Chorrera to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Independiente de La Chorrera Power 0
San Francisco FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Independiente de La Chorrera Position

+4

Position Gap

5

San Francisco FC Position

Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.