AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Nov 08, 2025
Olancho
HomeVS
23:15
Lobos Upnfm
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Olancho Win
Draw
Lobos Upnfm Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.38 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
3-2 (5%)
2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
72%
Under 2.5 Goals
28%
Olancho Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 01 | Olancho vs CD Marath… | 2-1 |
| Oct 26 | Olancho vs Génesis | 2-2 |
| Oct 16 | Olancho vs Juticalpa | 0-1 |
| Oct 04 | Olancho vs Victoria | 2-2 |
| Sep 28 | Olancho vs Real Espa… | 1-1 |
| Sep 21 | Olancho vs Atlético … | 6-2 |
| Sep 18 | Olancho vs CD Olimpia | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Olancho vs Platense … | 2-1 |
| Sep 10 | Olancho vs Lobos Upn… | 1-1 |
| Aug 24 | Olancho vs CD Marath… | 1-1 |
Lobos Upnfm Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | Lobos Upn… vs Victoria | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Lobos Upn… vs Platense … | 1-1 |
| Oct 15 | Lobos Upn… vs Atlético … | 5-1 |
| Oct 05 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia | 1-2 |
| Sep 27 | Lobos Upn… vs Génesis | 2-3 |
| Sep 22 | Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… | 2-0 |
| Sep 18 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… | 2-2 |
| Sep 14 | Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua | 3-3 |
| Sep 10 | Lobos Upn… vs Olancho | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa | 0-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 1 - 1 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Olancho | 3 - 2 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Lobos Upnfm | 1 - 1 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Olancho | 4 - 0 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 1 - 0 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Lobos Upnfm | 0 - 1 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Olancho | 0 - 0 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Lobos Upnfm | 2 - 2 | Olancho | Liga Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Olancho | 2 - 1 | Lobos Upnfm | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
MASTER: Olancho to win (78% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 97
Olancho Power
0
Lobos Upnfm Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.