AI Match Insights

Liga Nacional Nov 08, 2025

Olancho

Home
VS
23:15

Lobos Upnfm

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Olancho Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Lobos Upnfm Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.38 - 1.32
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 1.3
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olancho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Lobos Upnfm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 3-2 (5%) 2-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
Olancho Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Olancho vs CD Marath… 2-1
Oct 26 Olancho vs Génesis 2-2
Oct 16 Olancho vs Juticalpa 0-1
Oct 04 Olancho vs Victoria 2-2
Sep 28 Olancho vs Real Espa… 1-1
Sep 21 Olancho vs Atlético … 6-2
Sep 18 Olancho vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Sep 14 Olancho vs Platense … 2-1
Sep 10 Olancho vs Lobos Upn… 1-1
Aug 24 Olancho vs CD Marath… 1-1
Lobos Upnfm Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Lobos Upn… vs Victoria 0-1
Oct 18 Lobos Upn… vs Platense … 1-1
Oct 15 Lobos Upn… vs Atlético … 5-1
Oct 05 Lobos Upn… vs CD Olimpia 1-2
Sep 27 Lobos Upn… vs Génesis 2-3
Sep 22 Lobos Upn… vs Real Espa… 2-0
Sep 18 Lobos Upn… vs CD Marath… 2-2
Sep 14 Lobos Upn… vs CD Motagua 3-3
Sep 10 Lobos Upn… vs Olancho 1-1
Aug 31 Lobos Upn… vs Juticalpa 0-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 10, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Apr 28, 2025 Olancho 3 - 2 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Feb 22, 2025 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Oct 05, 2024 Olancho 4 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Aug 03, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 1 - 0 Olancho Liga Nacional
Apr 06, 2024 Lobos Upnfm 0 - 1 Olancho Liga Nacional
Feb 10, 2024 Olancho 0 - 0 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Nov 11, 2023 Lobos Upnfm 2 - 2 Olancho Liga Nacional
Sep 17, 2023 Olancho 2 - 1 Lobos Upnfm Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: Olancho to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
Olancho Power 0
Lobos Upnfm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.