AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Nov 02, 2025

CD Motagua

Home
VS
01:30

Victoria

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
CD Motagua Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Victoria Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 44%
xG: 2.44 - 1.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 1.6
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Motagua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Victoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (7%) 1-2 (5%) 3-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Under 2.5 Goals 28%
CD Motagua Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 29 CD Motagua vs CS Cartag… 1-3
Oct 25 CD Motagua vs CD Marath… 1-0
Oct 22 CD Motagua vs CS Cartag… 1-0
Oct 17 CD Motagua vs CD Olimpia 2-2
Oct 05 CD Motagua vs GĂ©nesis 4-3
Oct 01 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 1-2
Sep 24 CD Motagua vs LD Alajue… 0-1
Sep 21 CD Motagua vs Juticalpa 0-0
Sep 17 CD Motagua vs Platense … 1-2
Sep 14 CD Motagua vs Lobos Upn… 3-3
Victoria Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 26 Victoria vs Lobos Upn… 0-1
Oct 15 Victoria vs Platense … 2-0
Oct 04 Victoria vs Olancho 2-2
Sep 27 Victoria vs CD Marath… 2-2
Sep 21 Victoria vs CD Olimpia 2-3
Sep 19 Victoria vs Atlético … 2-1
Sep 13 Victoria vs Juticalpa 2-3
Sep 11 Victoria vs Real Espa… 1-3
Aug 30 Victoria vs GĂ©nesis 1-0
Aug 23 Victoria vs CD Motagua 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CD Motagua struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Victoria struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 23, 2025 Victoria 0 - 1 CD Motagua Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

MASTER: CD Motagua to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 97
CD Motagua Power 0
Victoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.