AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 16, 2025

CD Marathon

Home
VS
01:30

Real Espana

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
CD Marathon Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Real Espana Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 53%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.90 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.4
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CD Marathon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Real Espana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Under 2.5 Goals 60%
CD Marathon Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 CD Marath… vs Juticalpa 1-3
Sep 27 CD Marath… vs Victoria 2-2
Sep 18 CD Marath… vs Lobos Upn… 2-2
Sep 14 CD Marath… vs Atlético … 1-0
Sep 12 CD Marath… vs Platense … 1-1
Aug 31 CD Marath… vs CD Olimpia 2-0
Aug 24 CD Marath… vs Olancho 1-1
Aug 18 CD Marath… vs CD Motagua 3-3
Aug 09 CD Marath… vs Génesis 1-0
Aug 03 CD Marath… vs Real Espa… 1-0
Real Espana Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 06 Real Espa… vs Platense … 2-1
Oct 02 Real Espa… vs Plaza Ama… 1-2
Sep 28 Real Espa… vs Olancho 1-1
Sep 25 Real Espa… vs Plaza Ama… 0-1
Sep 22 Real Espa… vs Lobos Upn… 2-0
Sep 15 Real Espa… vs Génesis 1-1
Sep 11 Real Espa… vs Victoria 1-3
Sep 01 Real Espa… vs CD Motagua 3-2
Aug 29 Real Espa… vs Sporting … 4-0
Aug 25 Real Espa… vs Juticalpa 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Espana in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 03, 2025 Real Espana 1 - 0 CD Marathon Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CD Marathon to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CD Marathon Power 0
Real Espana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CD Marathon Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Real Espana Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.