AI Match Insights
Primera Division Oct 26, 2025
UNAN Managua
HomeVS
23:00
Real Madriz
AwayAI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
UNAN Managua Win
Draw
Real Madriz Win
Home Win
(45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Combined: 51%
Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 4.50 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.1
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%)
3-0 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
2-0 (4%)
3-2 (3%)
2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
UNAN Managua Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa | 5-0 |
| Oct 20 | UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén | 2-1 |
| Oct 14 | UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa | 4-0 |
| Sep 28 | UNAN Mana… vs Real Este… | 0-0 |
| Sep 21 | UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… | 1-4 |
| Sep 18 | UNAN Mana… vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Sep 15 | UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export | 2-4 |
| Aug 24 | UNAN Mana… vs Rancho Sa… | 0-1 |
| Aug 16 | UNAN Mana… vs Real Madr… | 0-3 |
| Aug 09 | UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa | 5-1 |
Real Madriz Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | Real Madr… vs H&H Export | 0-0 |
| Oct 16 | Real Madr… vs Managua FC | 2-0 |
| Oct 06 | Real Madr… vs Matagalpa | 1-2 |
| Sep 28 | Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… | 3-2 |
| Sep 22 | Real Madr… vs Real Este… | 1-3 |
| Sep 18 | Real Madr… vs Diriangén | 7-0 |
| Sep 13 | Real Madr… vs Rancho Sa… | 2-0 |
| Aug 24 | Real Madr… vs Jalapa | 4-2 |
| Aug 16 | Real Madr… vs UNAN Mana… | 0-3 |
| Aug 10 | Real Madr… vs H&H Export | 3-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- UNAN Managua struggling (4L in last 5) Home
- Real Madriz struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Real Madriz | 0 - 3 | UNAN Managua | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
UNAN Managua Power
0
Real Madriz Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
9
UNAN Managua Position+1
Position Gap10
Real Madriz Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.