AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Oct 26, 2025

Matagalpa

Home
VS
21:00

Jalapa

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Matagalpa Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Jalapa Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.66 - 1.10
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 1.1
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Matagalpa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Matagalpa vs Diriangén 2-2
Oct 14 Matagalpa vs UNAN Mana… 4-0
Oct 06 Matagalpa vs Real Madr… 1-2
Sep 27 Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… 1-4
Sep 21 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 0-0
Sep 14 Matagalpa vs Real Este… 2-1
Aug 31 Matagalpa vs Walter Fe… 2-2
Aug 24 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 1-2
Aug 16 Matagalpa vs Jalapa 0-2
Aug 09 Matagalpa vs Diriangén 0-2
Jalapa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-0
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-1
Oct 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 2-2
Sep 27 Jalapa vs Diriangén 0-0
Sep 20 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-1
Sep 13 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-0
Sep 01 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Aug 24 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 4-2
Aug 16 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 0-2
Aug 09 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 16, 2025 Jalapa 0 - 2 Matagalpa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Matagalpa Power 0
Jalapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Matagalpa Position

+1

Position Gap

6

Jalapa Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.