AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Oct 23, 2025

Jalapa

Home
VS
21:00

UNAN Managua

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Jalapa Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
UNAN Managua Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.61 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Jalapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (14%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Jalapa Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Jalapa vs Real Este… 1-1
Oct 15 Jalapa vs H&H Export 2-2
Sep 27 Jalapa vs Diriangén 0-0
Sep 20 Jalapa vs Managua FC 2-1
Sep 13 Jalapa vs Walter Fe… 3-0
Sep 01 Jalapa vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Aug 24 Jalapa vs Real Madr… 4-2
Aug 16 Jalapa vs Matagalpa 0-2
Aug 09 Jalapa vs UNAN Mana… 5-1
Aug 02 Jalapa vs H&H Export 1-0
UNAN Managua Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 2-1
Oct 14 UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa 4-0
Sep 28 UNAN Mana… vs Real Este… 0-0
Sep 21 UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… 1-4
Sep 18 UNAN Mana… vs Managua FC 1-0
Sep 15 UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export 2-4
Aug 24 UNAN Mana… vs Rancho Sa… 0-1
Aug 16 UNAN Mana… vs Real Madr… 0-3
Aug 09 UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa 5-1
Aug 02 UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • UNAN Managua struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 09, 2025 UNAN Managua 5 - 1 Jalapa Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Jalapa to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 93
Jalapa Power 0
UNAN Managua Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Jalapa Position

+3

Position Gap

9

UNAN Managua Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.