AI Match Insights

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Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Sep 14, 2025

CancĂșn

Home
VS
01:00

Venados FC

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
CancĂșn Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Venados FC Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.50 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CancĂșn Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
CancĂșn Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 06 CancĂșn vs Mineros d
 0-0
Aug 24 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 5-0
Aug 16 CancĂșn vs Alebrijes
 0-1
Aug 10 CancĂșn vs Tlaxcala 3-0
Aug 03 CancĂșn vs Dorados 0-1
Apr 20 CancĂșn vs CA La Paz 4-1
Apr 13 CancĂșn vs Monarcas 2-1
Apr 06 CancĂșn vs TapatĂ­o 1-2
Mar 29 CancĂșn vs Atlante FC 4-1
Mar 23 CancĂșn vs Celaya 1-1
Venados FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 05 Venados FC vs Monarcas 2-2
Aug 30 Venados FC vs Alebrijes
 4-5
Aug 23 Venados FC vs CA La Paz 3-3
Aug 17 Venados FC vs Dorados 1-0
Aug 09 Venados FC vs TapatĂ­o 1-3
Aug 02 Venados FC vs Irapuato 4-1
Apr 28 Venados FC vs Mineros d
 2-0
Apr 25 Venados FC vs Mineros d
 2-0
Apr 19 Venados FC vs Leones Ne
 3-1
Apr 12 Venados FC vs Tlaxcala 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • CancĂșn in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 04, 2024 Venados FC 2 - 0 CancĂșn Liga de Expans

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CancĂșn Power 0
Venados FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

CancĂșn Position

+4

Position Gap

8

Venados FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.