AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de Expansión MX Aug 31, 2025

Leones Negros UDG

Home
VS
18:00

Tlaxcala

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Leones Negros UDG Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Tlaxcala Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.99 - 0.59
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.0 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
Leones Negros UDG Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Leones Negros UDG Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Leones Ne… vs Tigres de… 1-1
Aug 23 Leones Ne… vs Tapatío 1-1
Aug 16 Leones Ne… vs Correcami… 1-2
Aug 10 Leones Ne… vs Irapuato 4-2
Aug 03 Leones Ne… vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
Jun 08 Leones Ne… vs Tapatío 1-2
Jun 01 Leones Ne… vs Tapatío 1-0
May 25 Leones Ne… vs CDS Tampi… 1-0
May 18 Leones Ne… vs CDS Tampi… 2-1
May 11 Leones Ne… vs Monarcas 2-0
Tlaxcala Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Tlaxcala vs Correcami… 0-2
Aug 17 Tlaxcala vs Irapuato 3-0
Aug 10 Tlaxcala vs Cancún 3-0
Aug 03 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-1
Apr 20 Tlaxcala vs Monarcas 1-1
Apr 12 Tlaxcala vs Venados FC 2-1
Apr 06 Tlaxcala vs Celaya 0-3
Mar 30 Tlaxcala vs Dorados 3-2
Mar 22 Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes… 2-3
Mar 16 Tlaxcala vs Cancún 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tlaxcala struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 24, 2024 Tlaxcala 0 - 4 Leones Negros UDG Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Leones Negros UDG Power 0
Tlaxcala Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Leones Negros UDG Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Tlaxcala Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.