AI Match Insights
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 30, 2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
HomeVS
23:00
Venados FC
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Win
Draw
Venados FC Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 4.49 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Venados FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%)
2-0 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (3%)
3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
47%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24 | Alebrijes… vs Mineros d… | 2-2 |
| Aug 23 | Alebrijes… vs Huracanes… | 3-1 |
| Aug 16 | Alebrijes… vs Cancún | 0-1 |
| Aug 09 | Alebrijes… vs Monarcas | 3-1 |
| Apr 20 | Alebrijes… vs Dorados | 2-2 |
| Apr 12 | Alebrijes… vs Tepatitlán | 4-0 |
| Apr 05 | Alebrijes… vs CA La Paz | 2-2 |
| Mar 30 | Alebrijes… vs Celaya | 3-0 |
| Mar 22 | Alebrijes… vs Tlaxcala | 2-3 |
| Feb 22 | Alebrijes… vs Venados FC | 2-1 |
Venados FC Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23 | Venados FC vs CA La Paz | 3-3 |
| Aug 17 | Venados FC vs Dorados | 1-0 |
| Aug 09 | Venados FC vs TapatĂo | 1-3 |
| Aug 02 | Venados FC vs Irapuato | 4-1 |
| Apr 28 | Venados FC vs Mineros d… | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | Venados FC vs Mineros d… | 2-0 |
| Apr 19 | Venados FC vs Leones Ne… | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Venados FC vs Tlaxcala | 2-1 |
| Apr 06 | Venados FC vs Dorados | 3-1 |
| Mar 29 | Venados FC vs Mineros d… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Venados FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Venados FC | 2 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Sep 08, 2024 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Venados FC | 2 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Sep 05, 2023 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 2 - 1 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Jan 19, 2023 | Venados FC | 2 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Jul 08, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 0 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Feb 09, 2022 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 1 - 0 | Venados FC | Liga de Expans… |
| Oct 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 1 - 1 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
| Feb 06, 2021 | Venados FC | 2 - 2 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | Liga de Expans… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Power
0
Venados FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
10
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Position-2
Position Gap8
Venados FC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.