AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 30, 2025

CA La Paz

Home
VS
03:00

Dorados

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
CA La Paz Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Dorados Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.11 - 0.57
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.6 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CA La Paz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Dorados Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
57%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
CA La Paz Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 CA La Paz vs Venados FC 3-3
Aug 16 CA La Paz vs Mineros d… 1-2
Aug 09 CA La Paz vs Correcami… 1-1
Aug 03 CA La Paz vs TapatĂ­o 2-0
Apr 20 CA La Paz vs CancĂşn 4-1
Apr 12 CA La Paz vs Dorados 0-0
Apr 05 CA La Paz vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Mar 29 CA La Paz vs Leones Ne… 3-1
Mar 22 CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán 4-1
Mar 08 CA La Paz vs Mineros d… 0-2
Dorados Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Dorados vs Tepatitlán 3-0
Aug 17 Dorados vs Venados FC 1-0
Aug 09 Dorados vs Mineros d… 3-0
Aug 03 Dorados vs CancĂşn 0-1
Apr 20 Dorados vs Alebrijes… 2-2
Apr 12 Dorados vs CA La Paz 0-0
Apr 06 Dorados vs Venados FC 3-1
Mar 30 Dorados vs Tlaxcala 3-2
Mar 23 Dorados vs CDS Tampi… 0-1
Mar 16 Dorados vs Tepatitlán 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • CA La Paz struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Dorados struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 CA La Paz 0 - 0 Dorados Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CA La Paz to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CA La Paz Power 0
Dorados Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

CA La Paz Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Dorados Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.