AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 30, 2025

Correcaminos Uat

Home
VS
01:00

Tepatitlán

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Correcaminos Uat Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Tepatitlán Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.79 - 1.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.3
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Tepatitlán Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 1-2 (7%) 2-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 0-2
Aug 16 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Aug 09 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Aug 02 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Apr 12 Correcami… vs Tapatío 4-0
Apr 04 Correcami… vs Atlante FC 2-0
Mar 29 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-2
Mar 21 Correcami… vs Venados FC 1-1
Mar 07 Correcami… vs Tepatitlán 2-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-3
Tepatitlán Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Tepatitlán vs Dorados 3-0
Aug 17 Tepatitlán vs Tapatío 1-3
Aug 09 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 0-0
Aug 03 Tepatitlán vs Atlante FC 1-1
Apr 27 Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Apr 25 Tepatitlán vs Leones Ne… 2-1
Apr 20 Tepatitlán vs Mineros d… 1-2
Apr 12 Tepatitlán vs Alebrijes… 4-0
Mar 30 Tepatitlán vs CDS Tampi… 2-1
Mar 22 Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz 4-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 07, 2025 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Sep 21, 2024 Tepatitlán 6 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 07, 2024 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 0 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Sep 13, 2023 Tepatitlán 2 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 15, 2023 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Aug 19, 2022 Tepatitlán 3 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Jan 13, 2022 Tepatitlán 1 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 05, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 2 - 1 Tepatitlán Liga de Expans…
Mar 10, 2021 Tepatitlán 1 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Tepatitlán Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Correcaminos Uat Position

-10

Position Gap

2

Tepatitlán Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.