AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga de ExpansiĂłn MX Aug 24, 2025

Tlaxcala

Home
VS
18:00

Correcaminos Uat

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Tlaxcala Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Correcaminos Uat Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 3.23 - 1.08
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tlaxcala Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Correcaminos Uat Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Tlaxcala Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Tlaxcala vs Irapuato 3-0
Aug 10 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 3-0
Aug 03 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 1-1
Apr 20 Tlaxcala vs Monarcas 1-1
Apr 12 Tlaxcala vs Venados FC 2-1
Apr 06 Tlaxcala vs Celaya 0-3
Mar 30 Tlaxcala vs Dorados 3-2
Mar 22 Tlaxcala vs Alebrijes… 2-3
Mar 16 Tlaxcala vs CancĂşn 1-1
Feb 09 Tlaxcala vs Mineros d… 3-3
Correcaminos Uat Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-2
Aug 09 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Aug 02 Correcami… vs Monarcas 1-1
Apr 12 Correcami… vs Tapatío 4-0
Apr 04 Correcami… vs Atlante FC 2-0
Mar 29 Correcami… vs Monarcas 3-2
Mar 21 Correcami… vs Venados FC 1-1
Feb 14 Correcami… vs Leones Ne… 1-3
Jan 25 Correcami… vs CA La Paz 1-1
Jan 17 Correcami… vs Tlaxcala 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tlaxcala struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2025 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Aug 04, 2024 Tlaxcala 3 - 2 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Mar 01, 2024 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Nov 01, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 1 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Apr 21, 2023 Tlaxcala 0 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Aug 24, 2022 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 2 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 24, 2022 Tlaxcala 4 - 0 Correcaminos Uat Liga de Expans…
Sep 02, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 1 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Mar 18, 2021 Correcaminos Uat 0 - 1 Tlaxcala Liga de Expans…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Tlaxcala to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tlaxcala Power 0
Correcaminos Uat Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Tlaxcala Position

+6

Position Gap

12

Correcaminos Uat Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.