AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 26, 2025

Guastatoya

Home
VS
23:00

Xelajú

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Guastatoya Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Xelajú Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.15 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guastatoya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Guastatoya Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 20 Guastatoya vs Malacatec… 0-1
Oct 12 Guastatoya vs Comunicac… 0-0
Oct 04 Guastatoya vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
Sep 28 Guastatoya vs Aurora 3-2
Sep 21 Guastatoya vs Achuapa 0-0
Sep 18 Guastatoya vs Marquense 0-2
Sep 14 Guastatoya vs Municipal 0-3
Sep 07 Guastatoya vs Antigua G… 3-1
Aug 30 Guastatoya vs Mixco 2-0
Aug 23 Guastatoya vs Mictlán 1-3
Xelajú Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Xelajú vs Real Espa… 1-1
Oct 18 Xelajú vs Mixco 1-2
Oct 11 Xelajú vs Mictlán 2-1
Oct 06 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 2-1
Oct 03 Xelajú vs Sporting … 2-1
Sep 29 Xelajú vs Malacatec… 3-0
Sep 25 Xelajú vs Sporting … 2-0
Sep 20 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 3-0
Sep 16 Xelajú vs Cobán Imp… 2-1
Sep 14 Xelajú vs Aurora 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Xelajú struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 18, 2025 Xelajú 5 - 0 Guastatoya Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guastatoya Power 0
Xelajú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Guastatoya Position

-5

Position Gap

6

Xelajú Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.