AI Match Insights
Liga Nacional Oct 25, 2025
Municipal
HomeVS
23:00
Malacateco FC
AwayAI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Municipal Win
Draw
Malacateco FC Win
Home Win
(53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
50%
Combined: 65%
Draw Risk: 9%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Municipal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Malacateco FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
Municipal Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | Municipal vs Comunicac… | 0-0 |
| Oct 12 | Municipal vs Cobán Imp… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Municipal vs Aurora | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Municipal vs Achuapa | 3-0 |
| Sep 20 | Municipal vs Marquense | 3-0 |
| Sep 18 | Municipal vs Antigua G… | 1-1 |
| Sep 14 | Municipal vs Guastatoya | 0-3 |
| Sep 04 | Municipal vs Mixco | 3-1 |
| Sep 01 | Municipal vs Mictlán | 0-0 |
| Aug 29 | Municipal vs CS Heredi… | 4-4 |
Malacateco FC Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | Malacatec… vs Guastatoya | 0-1 |
| Oct 12 | Malacatec… vs Mixco | 4-1 |
| Oct 05 | Malacatec… vs Mictlán | 1-0 |
| Sep 29 | Malacatec… vs Xelajú | 3-0 |
| Sep 21 | Malacatec… vs Antigua G… | 3-1 |
| Sep 17 | Malacatec… vs Comunicac… | 1-0 |
| Sep 13 | Malacatec… vs Cobán Imp… | 3-0 |
| Sep 07 | Malacatec… vs Aurora | 1-0 |
| Aug 31 | Malacatec… vs Achuapa | 2-0 |
| Aug 25 | Malacatec… vs Marquense | 4-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Municipal in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- Malacateco FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 2 - 3 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Malacateco FC | 0 - 1 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Municipal | 4 - 2 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Malacateco FC | 4 - 0 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Municipal | 0 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Municipal | 4 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2024 | Malacateco FC | 3 - 2 | Municipal | Liga Nacional |
| Apr 10, 2024 | Municipal | 3 - 0 | Malacateco FC | Liga Nacional |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Municipal to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Municipal Power
0
Malacateco FC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Municipal Position+4
Position Gap5
Malacateco FC Position
Home Win Rate: 82%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.