AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Nacional Oct 18, 2025

Aurora

Home
VS
17:00

Achuapa

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Aurora Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Achuapa Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.36 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Aurora Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Achuapa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Aurora Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 13 Aurora vs Marquense 1-1
Oct 05 Aurora vs Municipal 1-0
Sep 28 Aurora vs Guastatoya 3-2
Sep 20 Aurora vs Mixco 2-2
Sep 14 Aurora vs XelajĂş 2-2
Sep 07 Aurora vs Malacatec… 1-0
Aug 30 Aurora vs Comunicac… 0-2
Aug 24 Aurora vs Cobán Imp… 1-1
Aug 16 Aurora vs Antigua G… 3-2
Aug 10 Aurora vs Achuapa 1-2
Achuapa Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 12 Achuapa vs Antigua G… 1-0
Sep 27 Achuapa vs Municipal 3-0
Sep 21 Achuapa vs Guastatoya 0-0
Sep 14 Achuapa vs Mictlán 1-0
Sep 07 Achuapa vs XelajĂş 4-1
Aug 31 Achuapa vs Malacatec… 2-0
Aug 24 Achuapa vs Comunicac… 2-1
Aug 16 Achuapa vs Cobán Imp… 2-2
Aug 10 Achuapa vs Aurora 1-2
Aug 02 Achuapa vs Antigua G… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Achuapa struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 10, 2025 Achuapa 1 - 2 Aurora Liga Nacional
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aurora Power 0
Achuapa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Aurora Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Achuapa Position
Home Win Rate: 73%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.