AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Oct 05, 2025

Tigres UANL

Home
VS
01:00

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Tigres UANL Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Cruz Azul Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.53 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres UANL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Tigres UANL Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 28 Tigres UA… vs Querétaro 0-2
Sep 25 Tigres UA… vs Atlas 2-0
Sep 21 Tigres UA… vs U.N.A.M. … 1-1
Sep 18 Tigres UA… vs Guadalaja… 0-0
Sep 14 Tigres UA… vs León FC 0-0
Aug 31 Tigres UA… vs Santos La… 0-1
Aug 24 Tigres UA… vs Mazatlán … 2-2
Aug 17 Tigres UA… vs Club Amér… 1-3
Aug 09 Tigres UA… vs Puebla 7-0
Jul 27 Tigres UA… vs Toluca 3-4
Cruz Azul Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Cruz Azul vs Club Tiju… 2-0
Sep 25 Cruz Azul vs Querétaro 2-2
Sep 20 Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez 3-2
Sep 13 Cruz Azul vs Pachuca 0-1
Aug 31 Cruz Azul vs Guadalaja… 1-2
Aug 24 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-0
Aug 17 Cruz Azul vs Santos La… 3-2
Aug 12 Cruz Azul vs Atletico … 1-2
Jul 27 Cruz Azul vs León FC 4-1
Jul 20 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 3-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 02, 2025 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL CONCACAF Champ…
Apr 24, 2025 Tigres UANL 1 - 1 Cruz Azul CONCACAF Champ…
Feb 16, 2025 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Nov 10, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Feb 18, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Oct 22, 2023 Tigres UANL 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Feb 05, 2023 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Tigres UANL Liga MX
Jul 03, 2022 Tigres UANL 2 - 3 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres UANL Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres UANL Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.