AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Sep 21, 2025

Monterrey

Home
VS
03:05

Club América

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Monterrey Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Club América Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.12 - 1.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 1.5
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monterrey Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Club América Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-2 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Monterrey Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Monterrey vs Alloa Ath… 0-4
Sep 14 Monterrey vs Querétaro 0-1
Sep 07 Monterrey vs Colorado … 2-1
Aug 31 Monterrey vs Oakland R… 1-0
Aug 30 Monterrey vs Puebla 2-4
Aug 24 Monterrey vs San Anton… 0-0
Aug 24 Monterrey vs Necaxa 3-0
Aug 18 Monterrey vs Mazatlán … 3-2
Aug 17 Monterrey vs El Paso L… 2-2
Aug 12 Monterrey vs LeĂłn FC 1-3
Club América Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Club Amér… vs Guadalaja… 1-2
Aug 31 Club Amér… vs Pachuca 2-0
Aug 25 Club Amér… vs Atlas 2-4
Aug 17 Club Amér… vs Tigres UA… 1-3
Aug 10 Club Amér… vs Querétaro 1-0
Jul 27 Club Amér… vs Necaxa 1-1
Jul 21 Club Amér… vs Toluca 1-3
Jul 17 Club Amér… vs Club Tiju… 3-1
Jul 12 Club Amér… vs FC Juarez 1-1
May 26 Club Amér… vs Toluca 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Club AmĂ©rica in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Monterrey struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 17, 2025 Monterrey 1 - 0 Club América Liga MX
Dec 16, 2024 Monterrey 1 - 1 Club América Liga MX
Dec 13, 2024 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Oct 28, 2024 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Feb 04, 2024 Club América 1 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Oct 29, 2023 Monterrey 0 - 3 Club América Liga MX
Jun 21, 2023 Club América 0 - 1 Monterrey Friendlies Clu…
Apr 09, 2023 Club América 2 - 1 Monterrey Liga MX
Jul 10, 2022 Monterrey 3 - 2 Club América Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monterrey Power 0
Club América Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Monterrey Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Club América Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.