AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Sep 20, 2025

Mazatlán FC

Home
VS
03:00

Atlas

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mazatlán FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Atlas Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.82 - 2.18
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 2.2
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mazatlán FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Atlas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-3 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Under 2.5 Goals 21%
Mazatlán FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 13 Mazatlán … vs U.N.A.M. … 1-4
Aug 30 Mazatlán … vs FC Juarez 1-0
Aug 24 Mazatlán … vs Tigres UA… 2-2
Aug 18 Mazatlán … vs Monterrey 3-2
Aug 10 Mazatlán … vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Jul 26 Mazatlán … vs Pachuca 1-0
Jul 19 Mazatlán … vs Puebla 2-1
Jul 13 Mazatlán … vs Cruz Azul 0-0
Apr 19 Mazatlán … vs Club Amér… 5-0
Apr 17 Mazatlán … vs Club Tiju… 0-2
Atlas Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 14 Atlas vs Santos La… 2-2
Aug 31 Atlas vs U.N.A.M. … 1-0
Aug 25 Atlas vs Club Amér… 2-4
Aug 17 Atlas vs Querétaro 3-3
Aug 10 Atlas vs Pachuca 0-3
Jul 27 Atlas vs Monterrey 3-1
Jul 20 Atlas vs Cruz Azul 3-3
Jul 12 Atlas vs Puebla 2-3
Apr 20 Atlas vs Guadalaja… 1-1
Apr 17 Atlas vs Querétaro 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mazatlán FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Atlas struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Mazatlán FC 3 - 2 Atlas Liga MX
Oct 19, 2024 Atlas 0 - 0 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Feb 10, 2024 Mazatlán FC 2 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Dec 30, 2023 Atlas 1 - 0 Mazatlán FC Friendlies Clu…
Oct 21, 2023 Atlas 1 - 3 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Jan 13, 2023 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Dec 21, 2022 Atlas 2 - 1 Mazatlán FC Copa por México
Sep 08, 2022 Mazatlán FC 1 - 0 Atlas Liga MX
Apr 15, 2022 Atlas 1 - 2 Mazatlán FC Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mazatlán FC Power 0
Atlas Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Mazatlán FC Position

-15

Position Gap

3

Atlas Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.