AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Aug 31, 2025

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
VS
01:07

Cruz Azul

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Guadalajara Chivas Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Cruz Azul Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 3.23 - 2.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 2.2
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Chivas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Cruz Azul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Under 2.5 Goals 22%
Guadalajara Chivas Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Guadalaja… vs Primero M… 0-2
Aug 23 Guadalaja… vs Club Tiju… 3-3
Aug 16 Guadalaja… vs FC Juarez 1-2
Aug 11 Guadalaja… vs Santos La… 1-0
Aug 09 Guadalaja… vs Villarrea… 2-2
Jul 26 Guadalaja… vs Atletico … 4-3
Jul 20 Guadalaja… vs León FC 1-0
Apr 20 Guadalaja… vs Atlas 1-1
Apr 16 Guadalaja… vs Puebla 1-0
Apr 12 Guadalaja… vs Mazatlán … 1-1
Cruz Azul Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Cruz Azul vs Toluca 1-0
Aug 17 Cruz Azul vs Santos La… 3-2
Aug 12 Cruz Azul vs Atletico … 1-2
Jul 27 Cruz Azul vs León FC 4-1
Jul 20 Cruz Azul vs Atlas 3-3
Jul 13 Cruz Azul vs Mazatlán … 0-0
May 19 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 2-1
May 16 Cruz Azul vs Club Amér… 1-0
May 12 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-1
May 09 Cruz Azul vs León FC 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruz Azul in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Guadalajara Chivas struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Sep 22, 2024 Cruz Azul 1 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Mar 03, 2024 Cruz Azul 3 - 0 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Nov 05, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 0 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Apr 23, 2023 Guadalajara Chivas 2 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Dec 31, 2022 Guadalajara Chivas 0 - 2 Cruz Azul Copa por México
Oct 02, 2022 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Apr 17, 2022 Cruz Azul 0 - 1 Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX
Oct 24, 2021 Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 Cruz Azul Liga MX
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Chivas to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Chivas Power 0
Cruz Azul Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Guadalajara Chivas Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Cruz Azul Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.