AI Match Insights

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Primera División - Clausura Aug 31, 2025

Boston River

Home
VS
23:30

Progreso

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Boston River Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Progreso Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 3.21 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Boston River Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Boston River Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Boston Ri… vs Club Naci… 0-0
Aug 15 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Aug 08 Boston Ri… vs Atletico … 1-1
Aug 02 Boston Ri… vs Defensor … 4-0
Jun 14 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 1-1
Apr 18 Boston Ri… vs Danubio 1-2
Feb 15 Boston Ri… vs Peñarol M… 1-1
Dec 01 Boston Ri… vs Club Naci… 3-1
Nov 27 Boston Ri… vs Racing Cl… 1-2
Nov 22 Boston Ri… vs Defensor … 0-1
Progreso Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 24 Progreso vs Danubio 1-0
Aug 16 Progreso vs Club Naci… 3-1
Aug 09 Progreso vs Cerro Lar… 1-2
Aug 01 Progreso vs Peñarol M… 2-1
Jun 29 Progreso vs Juventud 2-0
May 23 Progreso vs Club Naci… 1-0
May 18 Progreso vs Juventud 1-2
Apr 20 Progreso vs Defensor … 1-2
Feb 16 Progreso vs Club Naci… 1-5
Nov 30 Progreso vs Cerro Lar… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Progreso struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boston River to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Boston River Power 0
Progreso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.