AI Match Insights
Primera DivisiĆ³n - Clausura Aug 16, 2025
Club Nacional
HomeVS
21:00
Progreso
AwayAI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Club Nacional Win
Draw
Progreso Win
Home Win
(69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 12%
xG: 4.50 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Club Nacional Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Progreso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (6%)
2-0 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-0 (2%)
3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Club Nacional Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 09 | Club Naciā¦ vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 3-0 |
| Aug 02 | Club Naciā¦ vs Atletico ā¦ | 5-2 |
| May 23 | Club Naciā¦ vs Progreso | 1-0 |
| Apr 06 | Club Naciā¦ vs Cerro Larā¦ | 0-4 |
| Feb 16 | Club Naciā¦ vs Progreso | 1-5 |
| Dec 06 | Club Naciā¦ vs Defensor ā¦ | 2-2 |
| Dec 01 | Club Naciā¦ vs Boston Riā¦ | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Club Naciā¦ vs Danubio | 0-0 |
| Nov 23 | Club Naciā¦ vs Atletico ā¦ | 4-0 |
| Nov 16 | Club Naciā¦ vs Deportivoā¦ | 5-2 |
Progreso Form 0.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 09 | Progreso vs Cerro Larā¦ | 1-2 |
| Aug 01 | Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 2-1 |
| Jun 29 | Progreso vs Juventud | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Progreso vs Club Naciā¦ | 1-0 |
| May 18 | Progreso vs Juventud | 1-2 |
| Apr 20 | Progreso vs Defensor ā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 16 | Progreso vs Club Naciā¦ | 1-5 |
| Nov 30 | Progreso vs Cerro Larā¦ | 2-1 |
| Nov 27 | Progreso vs PeƱarol Mā¦ | 1-5 |
| Nov 18 | Progreso vs Fenix | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Club Nacional in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
- Progreso struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2025 | Club Nacional | 1 - 0 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Progreso | 1 - 5 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Progreso | 0 - 3 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Club Nacional | 0 - 0 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Club Nacional | 0 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| May 23, 2021 | Progreso | 1 - 3 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Feb 18, 2021 | Progreso | 0 - 1 | Club Nacional | Primera Divisiā¦ |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Club Nacional | 2 - 1 | Progreso | Primera Divisiā¦ |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Club Nacional to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Club Nacional Power
0
Progreso Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.