AI Match Insights

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Primera B May 05, 2025

Magallanes CF

Home
VS
19:00

Deportes Santa Cruz

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Magallanes CF Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Deportes Santa Cruz Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 2.56 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Magallanes CF Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Deportes Santa Cruz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Magallanes CF Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 Magallane… vs Union San… 1-0
Apr 20 Magallane… vs Rangers d… 1-1
Apr 12 Magallane… vs Cobresal 2-0
Apr 05 Magallane… vs Universid… 1-3
Mar 30 Magallane… vs San Luis … 1-0
Mar 23 Magallane… vs Recoleta 2-0
Mar 17 Magallane… vs Curicó Un… 1-1
Mar 07 Magallane… vs San Marco… 0-1
Feb 28 Magallane… vs Universid… 2-1
Feb 22 Magallane… vs Recoleta 3-0
Deportes Santa Cruz Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 26 Deportes … vs Deportes … 0-1
Apr 18 Deportes … vs Curicó Un… 2-3
Apr 13 Deportes … vs Santiago … 0-2
Apr 05 Deportes … vs Curicó Un… 0-0
Mar 28 Deportes … vs Universid… 1-0
Mar 23 Deportes … vs Ñublense 3-2
Mar 16 Deportes … vs Concepción 2-0
Mar 09 Deportes … vs San Luis … 1-1
Feb 28 Deportes … vs Recoleta 3-2
Feb 23 Deportes … vs Rangers d… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Magallanes CF struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Deportes Santa Cruz struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 17, 2024 Deportes Santa Cruz 3 - 1 Magallanes CF Primera B
Apr 07, 2024 Magallanes CF 4 - 1 Deportes Santa Cruz Primera B
Jul 12, 2023 Magallanes CF 3 - 0 Deportes Santa Cruz Copa Chile
Jul 16, 2022 Magallanes CF 0 - 0 Deportes Santa Cruz Primera B
Mar 01, 2022 Deportes Santa Cruz 1 - 2 Magallanes CF Primera B
Oct 23, 2021 Magallanes CF 1 - 1 Deportes Santa Cruz Primera B
Jul 21, 2021 Deportes Santa Cruz 2 - 0 Magallanes CF Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Magallanes CF to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Magallanes CF Power 0
Deportes Santa Cruz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.