AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera División Aug 23, 2025

Cobresal

Home
VS
19:00

Union La Calera

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Cobresal Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Union La Calera Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.27 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Cobresal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Union La Calera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Cobresal Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 17 Cobresal vs Magallane… 3-4
Aug 16 Cobresal vs O'Higgins 1-0
Aug 10 Cobresal vs Antofagas… 3-0
Aug 10 Cobresal vs Coquimbo … 1-2
Aug 04 Cobresal vs Universid… 0-1
Aug 02 Cobresal vs Rangers d… 4-1
Jul 26 Cobresal vs Deportes … 0-2
Jul 26 Cobresal vs Universid… 0-1
Jul 19 Cobresal vs San Marco… 2-0
Jul 12 Cobresal vs Union San… 3-0
Union La Calera Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Union La … vs Deportes … 1-1
Aug 09 Union La … vs Huachipato 1-0
Aug 03 Union La … vs O'Higgins 1-0
Jul 28 Union La … vs Universid… 0-4
Jul 19 Union La … vs Unión Esp… 3-1
Jul 02 Union La … vs Coquimbo … 1-4
Jun 20 Union La … vs Universid… 1-1
Jun 14 Union La … vs Deportes … 0-1
Jun 08 Union La … vs Coquimbo … 2-1
Jun 01 Union La … vs Colo-Colo 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cobresal struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Union La Calera struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2025 Union La Calera 2 - 1 Cobresal Primera Divisi…
Nov 10, 2024 Union La Calera 3 - 0 Cobresal Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Cobresal to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cobresal Power 0
Union La Calera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Cobresal Position

+8

Position Gap

13

Union La Calera Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.