AI Match Insights

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Primera DivisiĂłn Apr 20, 2025

Everton de Vina

Home
VS
16:30

Union La Calera

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Everton de Vina Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Union La Calera Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.20 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Everton de Vina Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Union La Calera Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (25%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
Everton de Vina Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Everton d… vs Deportes … 2-1
Apr 04 Everton d… vs Union La … 2-0
Mar 27 Everton d… vs Universid… 2-0
Mar 21 Everton d… vs San Luis … 3-2
Mar 15 Everton d… vs Coquimbo … 0-0
Mar 09 Everton d… vs Colo-Colo 2-0
Mar 01 Everton d… vs Ñublense 1-2
Feb 23 Everton d… vs Huachipato 4-0
Feb 16 Everton d… vs Deportes … 1-1
Feb 08 Everton d… vs San Luis … 1-0
Union La Calera Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 14 Union La … vs Palestino 1-0
Apr 04 Union La … vs Everton d… 2-0
Mar 30 Union La … vs Cobresal 2-1
Mar 21 Union La … vs Universid… 0-1
Mar 16 Union La … vs Deportes … 1-0
Mar 07 Union La … vs Huachipato 1-0
Mar 02 Union La … vs O'Higgins 2-2
Feb 23 Union La … vs Universid… 1-0
Feb 17 Union La … vs Unión Esp… 4-0
Feb 10 Union La … vs Universid… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Union La Calera struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 04, 2025 Everton de Vina 2 - 0 Union La Calera Copa Chile
Jan 31, 2025 Union La Calera 1 - 0 Everton de Vina Copa Chile
Oct 12, 2024 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Apr 20, 2024 Union La Calera 0 - 1 Everton de Vina Primera Divisi…
Mar 06, 2024 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera CONMEBOL Sudam…
Jul 16, 2023 Everton de Vina 1 - 2 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Jan 28, 2023 Union La Calera 3 - 2 Everton de Vina Primera Divisi…
Jul 24, 2022 Everton de Vina 0 - 1 Union La Calera Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Everton de Vina to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Everton de Vina Power 0
Union La Calera Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Everton de Vina Position

+5

Position Gap

13

Union La Calera Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.