AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 23, 2025

Bahia

Home
VS
19:00

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bahia Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Vasco DA Gama Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 62%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 3.44 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.4 Position gap: 8 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bahia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Bahia Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Bahia vs Fortaleza 2-3
Nov 08 Bahia vs Internaci… 2-2
Nov 05 Bahia vs Atletico-… 3-0
Nov 02 Bahia vs RB Bragan… 2-1
Oct 26 Bahia vs São Paulo… 2-0
Oct 22 Bahia vs Internaci… 1-0
Oct 19 Bahia vs Remo 4-0
Oct 17 Bahia vs Vitoria 2-1
Oct 05 Bahia vs Flamengo 1-0
Oct 02 Bahia vs Botafogo 2-1
Vasco DA Gama Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 20 Vasco DA … vs Remo 2-0
Nov 08 Vasco DA … vs Juventude 1-3
Nov 05 Vasco DA … vs Botafogo 3-0
Nov 02 Vasco DA … vs São Paulo… 0-2
Oct 26 Vasco DA … vs RB Bragan… 0-3
Oct 20 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-0
Oct 16 Vasco DA … vs Fortaleza 0-2
Oct 05 Vasco DA … vs Vitoria 4-3
Oct 01 Vasco DA … vs Palmeiras 3-0
Sep 27 Vasco DA … vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bahia struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Vasco DA Gama struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 24, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 3 - 1 Bahia Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Bahia to win (45% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 45% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bahia Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Bahia Position

+8

Position Gap

15

Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.