AI Match Insights

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Serie A Nov 06, 2025

Ceará

Home
VS
23:00

Fortaleza

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Ceará Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Fortaleza Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.57 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Ceará Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Fortaleza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Ceará Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Ceará vs Fluminense 2-0
Oct 29 Ceará vs Fluminense 1-0
Oct 25 Ceará vs Atletico-… 1-0
Oct 19 Ceará vs Botafogo 0-2
Oct 15 Ceará vs Sport Rec… 1-1
Oct 05 Ceará vs Santos 3-0
Oct 02 Ceará vs Vitoria 1-0
Sep 29 Ceará vs São Paulo… 0-1
Sep 20 Ceará vs Bahia 1-1
Sep 14 Ceará vs Vasco DA … 2-2
Fortaleza Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Fortaleza vs Itapipoca 2-2
Nov 01 Fortaleza vs Santos 1-1
Oct 25 Fortaleza vs Flamengo 1-0
Oct 19 Fortaleza vs Cruzeiro 1-0
Oct 16 Fortaleza vs Vasco DA … 0-2
Oct 11 Fortaleza vs Serra Tal… 1-0
Oct 05 Fortaleza vs Juventude 1-2
Oct 04 Fortaleza vs Estrela d… 0-1
Oct 02 Fortaleza vs São Paulo… 0-2
Sep 28 Fortaleza vs Estrela d… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ceará struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 13, 2025 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Ceará Serie A
Mar 22, 2025 Ceará 1 - 1 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Mar 15, 2025 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Ceará Cearense - 1
Feb 08, 2025 Fortaleza 1 - 2 Ceará Cearense - 1
Apr 06, 2024 Ceará 1 - 1 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Mar 30, 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 0 Ceará Cearense - 1
Mar 21, 2024 Fortaleza 0 - 1 Ceará Copa do Nordes…
Feb 17, 2024 Fortaleza 3 - 3 Ceará Cearense - 1
Apr 08, 2023 Ceará 2 - 2 Fortaleza Cearense - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Ceará to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ceará Power 0
Fortaleza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.