AI Match Insights

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Serie A Nov 05, 2025

Botafogo

Home
VS
22:30

Vasco DA Gama

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Botafogo Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Vasco DA Gama Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.34 - 1.45
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Botafogo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Vasco DA Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Botafogo Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 03 Botafogo vs Volta Red… 0-1
Nov 01 Botafogo vs Mirassol 0-0
Oct 26 Botafogo vs Santos 2-2
Oct 24 Botafogo vs Novorizon… 1-1
Oct 19 Botafogo vs Ceará 0-2
Oct 19 Botafogo vs Cuiabá 2-2
Oct 15 Botafogo vs Flamengo 0-3
Oct 14 Botafogo vs Chapecoen… 1-1
Oct 08 Botafogo vs Paysandu … 1-0
Oct 04 Botafogo vs Corinthia… 2-0
Vasco DA Gama Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Vasco DA … vs São Paulo… 0-2
Oct 26 Vasco DA … vs RB Bragan… 0-3
Oct 20 Vasco DA … vs Fluminense 2-0
Oct 16 Vasco DA … vs Fortaleza 0-2
Oct 05 Vasco DA … vs Vitoria 4-3
Oct 01 Vasco DA … vs Palmeiras 3-0
Sep 27 Vasco DA … vs Cruzeiro 2-0
Sep 24 Vasco DA … vs Bahia 3-1
Sep 21 Vasco DA … vs Flamengo 1-1
Sep 14 Vasco DA … vs Ceará 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Vasco DA Gama in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 12, 2025 Botafogo 1 - 1 Vasco DA Gama Copa do Brasil
Aug 28, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Copa do Brasil
Jul 12, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0 - 2 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 23, 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 0 Botafogo Carioca - 1
Nov 06, 2024 Botafogo 3 - 0 Vasco DA Gama Serie A
Jun 29, 2024 Vasco DA Gama 1 - 1 Botafogo Serie A
Feb 18, 2024 Botafogo 2 - 4 Vasco DA Gama Carioca - 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Botafogo to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Botafogo Power 0
Vasco DA Gama Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Botafogo Position

+7

Position Gap

15

Vasco DA Gama Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.