AI Match Insights

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Primera A Nov 14, 2025

Deportivo Pasto

Home
VS
00:00

Bucaramanga

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Deportivo Pasto Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Bucaramanga Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.58 - 1.10
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Deportivo Pasto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
5%
Bucaramanga Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Deportivo Pasto Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 10 Deportivo… vs Santa Fe 1-0
Nov 09 Deportivo… vs Once Cald… 1-0
Nov 07 Deportivo… vs Independi… 1-4
Oct 28 Deportivo… vs Alianza P… 0-1
Oct 28 Deportivo… vs Deportivo… 4-0
Oct 25 Deportivo… vs Deportes … 2-1
Oct 25 Deportivo… vs Rionegro … 1-5
Oct 24 Deportivo… vs Fortaleza… 2-0
Oct 22 Deportivo… vs Envigado 1-0
Oct 19 Deportivo… vs America d… 0-2
Bucaramanga Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Bucaraman… vs La Equida… 2-1
Oct 29 Bucaraman… vs Independi… 3-0
Oct 25 Bucaraman… vs Llaneros 2-0
Oct 21 Bucaraman… vs Millonari… 1-1
Oct 12 Bucaraman… vs Union Mag… 1-0
Oct 04 Bucaraman… vs Envigado 1-2
Sep 27 Bucaraman… vs Fortaleza… 2-1
Sep 19 Bucaraman… vs Deportes … 2-0
Sep 16 Bucaraman… vs America d… 0-0
Sep 14 Bucaraman… vs Atlético … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bucaramanga in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Deportivo Pasto struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Deportivo Pasto 0 - 1 Bucaramanga Primera A
Jul 28, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 3 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Jun 02, 2025 Bucaramanga 3 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
May 25, 2025 Bucaramanga 2 - 1 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Oct 24, 2024 Bucaramanga 0 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Copa Colombia
Oct 18, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Copa Colombia
Aug 24, 2024 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 2 Bucaramanga Primera A
Feb 20, 2024 Bucaramanga 1 - 0 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Sep 21, 2023 Bucaramanga 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto Primera A
Apr 13, 2023 Deportivo Pasto 1 - 0 Bucaramanga Primera A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Deportivo Pasto to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Deportivo Pasto Power 0
Bucaramanga Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Deportivo Pasto Position

+1

Position Gap

2

Bucaramanga Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.