AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 30, 2025

Lyon

Home
VS
19:45

Nantes

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Lyon Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Nantes Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 71%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 50%
xG: 1.65 - 0.90
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.9 Position gap: 12 places
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Lyon Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Nantes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Lyon Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 Lyon vs Maccabi T… 0-6
Nov 23 Lyon vs Auxerre 0-0
Nov 09 Lyon vs Paris Sai… 2-3
Nov 06 Lyon vs Real Betis 2-0
Nov 02 Lyon vs Stade Bre… 0-0
Oct 29 Lyon vs Paris FC 3-3
Oct 26 Lyon vs Strasbourg 2-1
Oct 23 Lyon vs FC Basel … 2-0
Oct 18 Lyon vs Nice 3-2
Oct 05 Lyon vs Toulouse 1-2
Nantes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 23 Nantes vs Lorient 1-1
Nov 08 Nantes vs LE Havre … 1-1
Nov 02 Nantes vs Metz 0-2
Oct 29 Nantes vs Monaco 3-5
Oct 24 Nantes vs Paris FC 1-2
Oct 19 Nantes vs Lille 0-2
Oct 04 Nantes vs Stade Bre… 0-0
Sep 27 Nantes vs Toulouse 2-2
Sep 20 Nantes vs Rennes FC 2-2
Sep 13 Nantes vs Nice 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2025 Nantes 1 - 1 Lyon Ligue 1
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Oct 06, 2024 Lyon 2 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Pro League
Apr 07, 2024 Nantes 1 - 3 Lyon Ligue 1
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Pro League
Dec 20, 2023 Lyon 1 - 0 Nantes Ligue 1
Apr 05, 2023 Nantes 1 - 0 Lyon Coupe de France
Mar 17, 2023 Lyon 1 - 1 Nantes Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nantes 0 - 0 Lyon Ligue 1
Final Verdict

ELITE: Lyon to win (92% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 92% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_15+
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Lyon Power 42
Nantes Power 26
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Lyon Position

+12

Position Gap

16

Nantes Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.