AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 23, 2025

Toulouse

Home
VS
16:15

Angers

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Toulouse Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Angers Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 59%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 4.15 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.2 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
7%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
20%
Angers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Toulouse Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Toulouse vs Lorient 1-1
Nov 02 Toulouse vs LE Havre … 0-0
Oct 29 Toulouse vs Rennes FC 2-2
Oct 25 Toulouse vs Monaco 1-0
Oct 19 Toulouse vs Metz 4-0
Oct 05 Toulouse vs Lyon 1-2
Sep 27 Toulouse vs Nantes 2-2
Sep 21 Toulouse vs Auxerre 1-0
Sep 14 Toulouse vs Lille 2-1
Aug 30 Toulouse vs Paris Sai… 3-6
Angers Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Angers vs Auxerre 2-0
Nov 02 Angers vs Lille 1-0
Oct 29 Angers vs Marseille 2-2
Oct 26 Angers vs Lorient 2-0
Oct 18 Angers vs Monaco 1-1
Oct 05 Angers vs Strasbourg 5-0
Sep 28 Angers vs Stade Bre… 0-2
Sep 19 Angers vs Lyon 1-0
Sep 14 Angers vs Metz 1-1
Aug 31 Angers vs Rennes FC 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2025 Angers 0 - 4 Toulouse Ligue 1
Oct 20, 2024 Toulouse 1 - 1 Angers Pro League
Oct 20, 2024 Toulouse 1 - 1 Angers Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2023 Angers 0 - 2 Toulouse Ligue 1
Oct 16, 2022 Toulouse 3 - 2 Angers Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toulouse Power 39
Angers Power 33
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Toulouse Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Angers Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.