AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Segunda División Nov 22, 2025

Eibar

Home
VS
17:30

Zaragoza

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Eibar Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Zaragoza Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 76%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.04 - 0.65
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.7 Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Eibar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Zaragoza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Eibar Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Eibar vs Sporting … 1-1
Nov 08 Eibar vs Albacete 3-2
Nov 01 Eibar vs Almería 3-1
Oct 29 Eibar vs Náxara 2-4
Oct 25 Eibar vs Leganes 0-0
Oct 19 Eibar vs Las Palmas 3-1
Oct 12 Eibar vs Castellón 0-0
Oct 03 Eibar vs AD Ceuta … 1-0
Sep 27 Eibar vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 21 Eibar vs Real Soci… 2-1
Zaragoza Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 16 Zaragoza vs Huesca 1-0
Nov 09 Zaragoza vs Granada CF 3-1
Nov 02 Zaragoza vs Deportivo… 0-2
Oct 29 Zaragoza vs Mutilvera 1-3
Oct 26 Zaragoza vs Sporting … 1-0
Oct 18 Zaragoza vs Cultural … 0-5
Oct 11 Zaragoza vs Almería 4-2
Oct 05 Zaragoza vs Cordoba 0-1
Sep 26 Zaragoza vs Mirandes 0-1
Sep 21 Zaragoza vs AD Ceuta … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zaragoza struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Zaragoza 2 - 2 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Dec 14, 2024 Eibar 2 - 1 Zaragoza Pro League
Dec 14, 2024 Eibar 2 - 1 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Feb 11, 2024 Eibar 1 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Feb 11, 2024 Eibar 1 - 0 Zaragoza Pro League
Oct 21, 2023 Zaragoza 2 - 3 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Apr 21, 2023 Eibar 1 - 1 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Oct 03, 2022 Zaragoza 0 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Apr 30, 2022 Eibar 2 - 0 Zaragoza Segunda Divisi…
Dec 06, 2021 Zaragoza 1 - 0 Eibar Segunda Divisi…
Final Verdict

PRO: Eibar to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Eibar Power 35
Zaragoza Power 28
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Eibar Position

+8

Position Gap

21

Zaragoza Position
Home Win Rate: 62%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.