AI Match Insights

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Segunda DivisiĂłn Nov 16, 2025

AlmerĂ­a

Home
VS
15:15

Cadiz

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
AlmerĂ­a Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Cadiz Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.98 - 0.78
Key Insights
Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AlmerĂ­a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Cadiz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (17%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (13%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
AlmerĂ­a Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 AlmerĂ­a vs Eibar 3-1
Oct 29 Almería vs Lorca Dep… 0-2
Oct 26 AlmerĂ­a vs CastellĂłn 1-0
Oct 19 AlmerĂ­a vs Cordoba 1-1
Oct 11 AlmerĂ­a vs Zaragoza 4-2
Oct 04 Almería vs Deportivo… 1-1
Sep 27 AlmerĂ­a vs Las Palmas 0-1
Sep 20 Almería vs Sporting … 2-1
Sep 13 AlmerĂ­a vs Valladolid 3-1
Sep 07 Almería vs Racing Sa… 2-3
Cadiz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 09 Cadiz vs Valladolid 0-0
Nov 02 Cadiz vs FC Andorra 0-0
Oct 28 Cadiz vs UCAM Murc… 1-3
Oct 25 Cadiz vs Granada CF 0-0
Oct 20 Cadiz vs Burgos 1-3
Oct 12 Cadiz vs Huesca 1-0
Oct 05 Cadiz vs Las Palmas 1-0
Sep 28 Cadiz vs AD Ceuta … 0-0
Sep 21 Cadiz vs Malaga 0-1
Sep 13 Cadiz vs Eibar 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AlmerĂ­a in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 09, 2025 Cadiz 2 - 1 Almería Segunda Divisi…
Dec 22, 2024 AlmerĂ­a 1 - 1 Cadiz Pro League
Dec 22, 2024 Almería 1 - 1 Cadiz Segunda Divisi…
May 25, 2024 AlmerĂ­a 6 - 1 Cadiz La Liga
May 25, 2024 AlmerĂ­a 6 - 1 Cadiz Pro League
Aug 26, 2023 Cadiz 1 - 1 AlmerĂ­a La Liga
Mar 18, 2023 AlmerĂ­a 1 - 1 Cadiz La Liga
Dec 30, 2022 Cadiz 1 - 1 AlmerĂ­a La Liga
Aug 01, 2021 Cadiz 1 - 2 Almería Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AlmerĂ­a to win (53% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 53% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AlmerĂ­a Power 39
Cadiz Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

AlmerĂ­a Position

+7

Position Gap

11

Cadiz Position
Home Win Rate: 58%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.