AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Nov 07, 2025

Elche

Home
VS
20:00

Real Sociedad

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Elche Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Real Sociedad Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 1.85 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Elche Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Real Sociedad Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (13%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Elche Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Elche vs Barcelona 3-1
Oct 29 Elche vs Los Garres 0-4
Oct 25 Elche vs Espanyol 1-0
Oct 19 Elche vs Athletic ā€¦ 0-0
Oct 05 Elche vs AlavƩs 3-1
Sep 28 Elche vs Celta de ā€¦ 2-1
Sep 25 Elche vs Osasuna 1-1
Sep 21 Elche vs Oviedo 1-0
Sep 12 Elche vs Sevilla FC 2-2
Aug 29 Elche vs Levante 2-0
Real Sociedad Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 01 Real Sociā€¦ vs Athletic ā€¦ 3-2
Oct 28 Real Sociā€¦ vs SD Negreiā€¦ 0-3
Oct 24 Real Sociā€¦ vs Sevilla FC 2-1
Oct 19 Real Sociā€¦ vs Celta de ā€¦ 1-1
Oct 05 Real Sociā€¦ vs Rayo Vallā€¦ 0-1
Sep 28 Real Sociā€¦ vs Barcelona 2-1
Sep 24 Real Sociā€¦ vs Mallorca 1-0
Sep 19 Real Sociā€¦ vs Real Betis 3-1
Sep 13 Real Sociā€¦ vs Real Madrā€¦ 1-2
Aug 30 Real Sociā€¦ vs Oviedo 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Elche struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 19, 2023 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Aug 27, 2022 Elche 0 - 1 Real Sociedad La Liga
Apr 10, 2022 Elche 1 - 2 Real Sociedad La Liga
Sep 26, 2021 Real Sociedad 1 - 0 Elche La Liga
May 07, 2021 Real Sociedad 2 - 0 Elche La Liga
Sep 26, 2020 Elche 0 - 3 Real Sociedad La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Elche Power 34
Real Sociedad Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Elche Position

-5

Position Gap

8

Real Sociedad Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.