AI Match Insights
Eredivisie Nov 30, 2025
FC Twente
HomeVS
15:45
AZ Alkmaar
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
FC Twente Win
Draw
AZ Alkmaar Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
Combined: 60%
Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 2.67 - 0.63
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.6
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Twente Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AZ Alkmaar Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%)
3-0 (12%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
FC Twente Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 22 | FC Twente vs FC Volend… | 1-1 |
| Nov 13 | FC Twente vs FC Schalk… | 1-0 |
| Nov 07 | FC Twente vs Telstar | 0-0 |
| Nov 02 | FC Twente vs Groningen | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | FC Twente vs ROHDA Raa… | 1-4 |
| Oct 26 | FC Twente vs Ajax | 2-3 |
| Oct 18 | FC Twente vs NEC Nijme… | 3-3 |
| Oct 05 | FC Twente vs Heracles | 2-1 |
| Sep 26 | FC Twente vs Fortuna S… | 3-2 |
| Sep 19 | FC Twente vs Sparta Ro… | 1-5 |
AZ Alkmaar Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27 | AZ Alkmaar vs Shelbourne | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen | 3-1 |
| Nov 09 | AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindh… | 1-5 |
| Nov 06 | AZ Alkmaar vs Crystal P… | 3-1 |
| Nov 02 | AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Ro… | 0-1 |
| Oct 26 | AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht | 4-1 |
| Oct 23 | AZ Alkmaar vs Slovan Br… | 1-0 |
| Oct 18 | AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax | 0-2 |
| Oct 05 | AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar | 2-1 |
| Oct 02 | AZ Alkmaar vs AEK Larna… | 4-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- AZ Alkmaar struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 3 - 2 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 14, 2025 | FC Twente | 2 - 3 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 0 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| Dec 21, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 0 | FC Twente | Pro League |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
| May 05, 2024 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 - 1 | FC Twente | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Pro League |
| Jan 13, 2024 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Mar 19, 2023 | FC Twente | 2 - 1 | AZ Alkmaar | Eredivisie |
| Sep 11, 2022 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 1 | FC Twente | Eredivisie |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
FC Twente Power
0
AZ Alkmaar Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
FC Twente Position-1
Position Gap6
AZ Alkmaar Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.