AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Nov 29, 2025

Fortuna Sittard

Home
VS
17:45

Heracles

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Fortuna Sittard Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Heracles Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.95 - 0.31
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.3 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Heracles Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
73%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 3-0 (16%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (5%) 3-1 (5%) 0-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Fortuna Sittard Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Fortuna S… vs Sparta Ro… 1-1
Nov 08 Fortuna S… vs Heerenveen 2-0
Oct 31 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 5-2
Oct 28 Fortuna S… vs Gemert 0-1
Oct 25 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 1-2
Oct 19 Fortuna S… vs Excelsior 1-0
Oct 04 Fortuna S… vs FC Volend… 1-0
Sep 26 Fortuna S… vs FC Twente 3-2
Sep 20 Fortuna S… vs Utrecht 1-0
Sep 17 Fortuna S… vs Feyenoord 2-0
Heracles Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Heracles vs GO Ahead … 4-2
Nov 08 Heracles vs Excelsior 1-2
Nov 02 Heracles vs PEC Zwolle 8-2
Oct 29 Heracles vs NAC Breda 1-4
Oct 25 Heracles vs FC Volend… 3-0
Oct 19 Heracles vs Feyenoord 0-7
Oct 18 Heracles vs SC Genemu… 2-0
Oct 11 Heracles vs Huizen 5-0
Oct 05 Heracles vs FC Twente 2-1
Sep 27 Heracles vs Sparta Ni… 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Heracles in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 08, 2025 Fortuna Sittard 1 - 0 Heracles Eredivisie
Dec 07, 2024 Heracles 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Dec 07, 2024 Heracles 2 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
May 19, 2024 Heracles 0 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Nov 10, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 4 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Apr 03, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Heracles Eredivisie
Nov 20, 2021 Heracles 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Feb 05, 2021 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 1 Heracles Eredivisie
Dec 11, 2020 Heracles 1 - 2 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortuna Sittard to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Heracles Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Fortuna Sittard Position

+5

Position Gap

16

Heracles Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.