AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Nov 29, 2025

Excelsior

Home
VS
15:30

NAC Breda

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Excelsior Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
NAC Breda Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 92%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.50 - 0.62
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 0.6
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Excelsior Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
8%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
NAC Breda Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Excelsior Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 Excelsior vs Ajax 1-2
Nov 08 Excelsior vs Heracles 1-2
Nov 01 Excelsior vs Telstar 2-2
Oct 29 Excelsior vs Excelsior… 1-0
Oct 26 Excelsior vs GO Ahead … 2-0
Oct 19 Excelsior vs Fortuna S… 1-0
Oct 18 Excelsior vs Hsc 21 2-0
Oct 11 Excelsior vs ADO '20 2-0
Oct 04 Excelsior vs Heerenveen 2-1
Sep 27 Excelsior vs Huizen 4-2
NAC Breda Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 22 NAC Breda vs PSV Eindh… 0-1
Nov 08 NAC Breda vs FC Volend… 2-1
Nov 01 NAC Breda vs GO Ahead … 1-0
Oct 29 NAC Breda vs Heracles 1-4
Oct 24 NAC Breda vs Heerenveen 3-3
Oct 18 NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle 2-2
Oct 03 NAC Breda vs Groningen 1-2
Sep 27 NAC Breda vs Ajax 2-1
Sep 20 NAC Breda vs Heracles 2-1
Sep 13 NAC Breda vs FC Twente 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Excelsior struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • NAC Breda struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 20, 2024 NAC Breda 1 - 1 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
Jun 02, 2024 Excelsior 4 - 1 NAC Breda Eredivisie
May 28, 2024 NAC Breda 6 - 2 Excelsior Eredivisie
Jul 22, 2023 NAC Breda 2 - 0 Excelsior Friendlies Clu…
May 06, 2022 Excelsior 2 - 2 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Oct 01, 2021 NAC Breda 4 - 1 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Apr 23, 2021 NAC Breda 1 - 2 Excelsior Eerste Divisie
Jan 03, 2021 Excelsior 0 - 3 NAC Breda Eerste Divisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Excelsior to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Excelsior Power 0
NAC Breda Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Excelsior Position

+4

Position Gap

17

NAC Breda Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.