AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Eredivisie Nov 22, 2025

Sparta Rotterdam

Home
VS
20:00

Fortuna Sittard

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Sparta Rotterdam Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Fortuna Sittard Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 67%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 2.78 - 1.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.8 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Fortuna Sittard Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 1-1 (5%) 1-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Sparta Rotterdam Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Sparta Ro… vs PEC Zwolle 1-0
Nov 02 Sparta Ro… vs AZ Alkmaar 0-1
Oct 30 Sparta Ro… vs Groningen 5-2
Oct 25 Sparta Ro… vs Telstar 1-0
Oct 19 Sparta Ro… vs Groningen 0-2
Oct 04 Sparta Ro… vs Ajax 3-3
Sep 27 Sparta Ro… vs Heracles 3-0
Sep 19 Sparta Ro… vs FC Twente 1-5
Sep 14 Sparta Ro… vs Excelsior 0-1
Aug 31 Sparta Ro… vs Feyenoord 0-4
Fortuna Sittard Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 08 Fortuna S… vs Heerenveen 2-0
Oct 31 Fortuna S… vs PSV Eindh… 5-2
Oct 28 Fortuna S… vs Gemert 0-1
Oct 25 Fortuna S… vs Groningen 1-2
Oct 19 Fortuna S… vs Excelsior 1-0
Oct 04 Fortuna S… vs FC Volend… 1-0
Sep 26 Fortuna S… vs FC Twente 3-2
Sep 20 Fortuna S… vs Utrecht 1-0
Sep 17 Fortuna S… vs Feyenoord 2-0
Sep 14 Fortuna S… vs Telstar 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sparta Rotterdam in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Fortuna Sittard struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 29, 2025 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 3 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Sep 28, 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Sep 28, 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 1 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Mar 30, 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Pro League
Mar 30, 2024 Sparta Rotterdam 4 - 0 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam Pro League
Jan 13, 2024 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 2 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Feb 03, 2023 Fortuna Sittard 0 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Oct 29, 2022 Sparta Rotterdam 3 - 1 Fortuna Sittard Eredivisie
Apr 16, 2022 Fortuna Sittard 3 - 0 Sparta Rotterdam Eredivisie
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sparta Rotterdam to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sparta Rotterdam Power 0
Fortuna Sittard Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Sparta Rotterdam Position

+6

Position Gap

11

Fortuna Sittard Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.