AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie A Nov 09, 2025

Bologna

Home
VS
14:00

Napoli

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Bologna Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Napoli Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.74 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Bologna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Napoli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (14%) 0-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Bologna Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 Bologna vs Brann 0-0
Nov 02 Bologna vs Parma 1-3
Oct 29 Bologna vs Torino 0-0
Oct 26 Bologna vs Fiorentina 2-2
Oct 23 Bologna vs FCSB 1-2
Oct 19 Bologna vs Cagliari 0-2
Oct 05 Bologna vs Pisa 4-0
Oct 02 Bologna vs SC Freibu… 1-1
Sep 28 Bologna vs Lecce 2-2
Sep 25 Bologna vs Aston Vil… 1-0
Napoli Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 04 Napoli vs Eintracht… 0-0
Nov 01 Napoli vs Como 0-0
Oct 28 Napoli vs Lecce 0-1
Oct 25 Napoli vs Inter 3-1
Oct 21 Napoli vs PSV Eindh… 6-2
Oct 18 Napoli vs Torino 1-0
Oct 05 Napoli vs Genoa 2-1
Oct 01 Napoli vs Sporting … 2-1
Sep 28 Napoli vs AC Milan 2-1
Sep 22 Napoli vs Pisa 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 07, 2025 Bologna 1 - 1 Napoli Serie A
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Aug 25, 2024 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Pro League
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0 - 2 Bologna Serie A
May 11, 2024 Napoli 0 - 2 Bologna Pro League
Sep 24, 2023 Bologna 0 - 0 Napoli Serie A
May 28, 2023 Bologna 2 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 16, 2022 Napoli 3 - 2 Bologna Serie A
Jan 17, 2022 Bologna 0 - 2 Napoli Serie A
Oct 28, 2021 Napoli 3 - 0 Bologna Serie A
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bologna Power 36
Napoli Power 40
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Bologna Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Napoli Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.