AI Match Insights
Jupiler Pro League Sep 14, 2025
St. Truiden
HomeVS
17:15
KVC Westerlo
AwayAI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
St. Truiden Win
Draw
KVC Westerlo Win
Home Win
(55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 66%
Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 4.50 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
St. Truiden Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
KVC Westerlo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%)
2-0 (8%)
3-1 (5%)
1-0 (3%)
2-1 (3%)
1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
St. Truiden Form 16.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | St. Truid… vs Cercle Br… | 1-1 |
| Aug 23 | St. Truid… vs Zulte War… | 0-2 |
| Aug 17 | St. Truid… vs RAAL La L… | 2-1 |
| Aug 08 | St. Truid… vs Dender | 2-0 |
| Aug 03 | St. Truid… vs Charleroi | 1-1 |
| Jul 27 | St. Truid… vs Gent | 3-1 |
| Jul 05 | St. Truid… vs KVC Weste… | 1-3 |
| May 10 | St. Truid… vs Kortrijk | 2-2 |
| May 10 | St. Truid… vs Kortrijk | 2-2 |
| May 04 | St. Truid… vs Beerschot… | 2-1 |
KVC Westerlo Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30 | KVC Weste… vs Antwerp | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | KVC Weste… vs Cercle Br… | 4-1 |
| Aug 09 | KVC Weste… vs KV Mechel… | 0-1 |
| Aug 02 | KVC Weste… vs Zulte War… | 3-1 |
| Jul 27 | KVC Weste… vs Anderlecht | 5-2 |
| Jul 05 | KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… | 1-3 |
| Jan 11 | KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… | 2-0 |
| May 03 | KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… | 2-2 |
| Mar 31 | KVC Weste… vs St. Truid… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- St. Truiden in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
- KVC Westerlo struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 05, 2025 | KVC Westerlo | 1 - 3 | St. Truiden | Friendlies Clu… |
| Jan 11, 2025 | KVC Westerlo | 1 - 2 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Oct 26, 2024 | St. Truiden | 2 - 0 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| May 03, 2024 | KVC Westerlo | 2 - 2 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | St. Truiden | 2 - 0 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Feb 24, 2024 | St. Truiden | 1 - 0 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Nov 10, 2023 | KVC Westerlo | 3 - 3 | St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro Le… |
| Jul 01, 2023 | KVC Westerlo | 2 - 2 | St. Truiden | Friendlies Clu… |
| Feb 19, 2023 | St. Truiden | 0 - 1 | KVC Westerlo | Jupiler Pro Le… |
Final Verdict
MASTER: St. Truiden to win (78% confidence)
MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0
78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 97
St. Truiden Power
0
KVC Westerlo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
St. Truiden Position+9
Position Gap11
KVC Westerlo Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.