AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 13, 2025

FC Thun

Home
VS
16:00

FC Basel 1893

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
FC Basel 1893 Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 57%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.44 - 1.41
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
FC Basel 1893 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
FC Thun Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 05 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 2-0
Aug 30 FC Thun vs Grasshopp… 1-1
Aug 23 FC Thun vs Zürich Wo… 1-3
Aug 23 FC Thun vs FC Zurich 0-4
Aug 17 FC Thun vs Breitenra… 1-0
Aug 09 FC Thun vs FC Luzern 1-2
Aug 03 FC Thun vs Lausanne 2-1
Jul 27 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 1-2
May 23 FC Thun vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
May 16 FC Thun vs Bellinzona 3-1
FC Basel 1893 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 30 FC Basel … vs FC Sion 0-1
Aug 27 FC Basel … vs FC Copenh… 2-0
Aug 20 FC Basel … vs FC Copenh… 1-1
Aug 16 FC Basel … vs Biel-Bien… 1-6
Aug 10 FC Basel … vs FC Lugano 3-1
Aug 06 FC Basel … vs BSC Young… 4-1
Aug 02 FC Basel … vs Grasshopp… 2-1
Jul 26 FC Basel … vs FC St. Ga… 2-1
Jun 01 FC Basel … vs Biel-Bien… 1-4
May 24 FC Basel … vs FC Luzern 4-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Thun struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2025 FC Basel 1893 2 - 0 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Jun 27, 2021 FC Basel 1893 2 - 3 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Jul 31, 2020 FC Thun 0 - 0 FC Basel 1893 Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
FC Basel 1893 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Thun Position

+3

Position Gap

4

FC Basel 1893 Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 55%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.