AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 03, 2025

FC Thun

Home
VS
12:00

Lausanne

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
FC Thun Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Lausanne Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.22
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
FC Thun Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Lausanne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
FC Thun Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 27 FC Thun vs FC Lugano 1-2
May 23 FC Thun vs Étoile Ca… 1-0
May 16 FC Thun vs Bellinzona 3-1
May 11 FC Thun vs FC Vaduz 3-3
May 02 FC Thun vs FC Aarau 2-1
Apr 25 FC Thun vs Neuchâtel… 0-2
Apr 21 FC Thun vs FC WIL 19… 7-0
Apr 11 FC Thun vs Stade Nyo… 0-2
Apr 04 FC Thun vs FC Schaff… 3-0
Mar 31 FC Thun vs Stade Lau… 3-0
Lausanne Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 31 Lausanne vs Vardar Sk… 5-0
Jul 27 Lausanne vs FC Winter… 3-2
Jul 24 Lausanne vs Vardar Sk… 2-1
May 24 Lausanne vs Servette … 3-3
May 18 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 1-1
May 14 Lausanne vs FC Basel … 2-3
May 11 Lausanne vs FC Luzern 1-1
May 03 Lausanne vs BSC Young… 3-2
Apr 27 Lausanne vs FC Basel … 3-2
Apr 21 Lausanne vs FC Lugano 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • FC Thun in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 20, 2025 Lausanne 2 - 2 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Jan 05, 2025 Lausanne 3 - 0 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
May 19, 2023 FC Thun 3 - 3 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Mar 19, 2023 Lausanne 1 - 3 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Jan 21, 2023 Lausanne 4 - 1 FC Thun Friendlies Clu…
Oct 21, 2022 Lausanne 2 - 1 FC Thun Challenge Leag…
Sep 02, 2022 FC Thun 2 - 0 Lausanne Challenge Leag…
Jul 09, 2022 FC Thun 0 - 1 Lausanne Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: FC Thun to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
FC Thun Power 0
Lausanne Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

FC Thun Position

+6

Position Gap

7

Lausanne Position
Home Win Rate: 64%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.