AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NB I Oct 18, 2025

MTK Budapest

Home
VS
12:00

Nyíregyháza

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
MTK Budapest Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Nyíregyháza Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 3.22 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.1
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MTK Budapest Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Nyíregyháza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 70%
Under 2.5 Goals 30%
MTK Budapest Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 MTK Budap… vs Kazincbar… 3-1
Sep 28 MTK Budap… vs Kisvárda 4-0
Sep 21 MTK Budap… vs Zalaegers… 1-0
Aug 30 MTK Budap… vs Ujpest 1-2
Aug 24 MTK Budap… vs Paks 2-3
Aug 17 MTK Budap… vs Gyori ETO… 2-7
Aug 09 MTK Budap… vs Diósgyőri… 5-0
Aug 01 MTK Budap… vs Debreceni… 1-0
Jul 26 MTK Budap… vs Ferencvár… 1-1
May 24 MTK Budap… vs Ujpest 1-3
Nyíregyháza Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Nyíregyhá… vs Zalaegers… 3-1
Sep 26 Nyíregyhá… vs Ujpest 2-2
Sep 20 Nyíregyhá… vs Paks 1-1
Aug 31 Nyíregyhá… vs Gyori ETO… 1-0
Aug 23 Nyíregyhá… vs Diósgyőri… 1-4
Aug 17 Nyíregyhá… vs Debreceni… 1-2
Aug 09 Nyíregyhá… vs Ferencvár… 1-4
Aug 03 Nyíregyhá… vs Puskás Ak… 3-2
Jul 27 Nyíregyhá… vs Kisvárda 1-1
May 25 Nyíregyhá… vs Zalaegers… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • MTK Budapest in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MTK Budapest Power 0
Nyíregyháza Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

MTK Budapest Position

+3

Position Gap

11

Nyíregyháza Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.